Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 15.959832 18.193194 20.585983 23.335526 26.402822 29.714356 33.555052
2024-10-06 13.771931 16.997261 20.691949 25.218030 30.592394 36.748482 44.310823
2024-10-13 11.466959 15.241483 19.840961 25.812699 33.310381 42.357416 54.038937
2024-10-20 9.222652 13.173260 18.282065 25.290400 34.559166 46.291109 62.139871
2024-10-27 7.394882 11.326731 16.710162 24.490425 35.291860 49.579503 69.691665
2024-11-03 6.568484 10.706689 16.665596 25.677453 38.721667 56.633664 82.735091
2024-11-10 6.199076 10.681767 17.431444 28.052917 43.992141 66.592303 100.507026
2024-11-17 5.630357 10.251809 17.523225 29.417275 47.898425 74.917449 116.607950
2024-11-24 4.885481 9.411791 16.858527 29.521991 49.891248 80.582307 129.245189
2024-12-01 4.119732 8.405907 15.782683 28.823762 50.530506 84.218071 139.065419
2024-12-08 3.583422 7.717208 15.136980 28.732287 52.079958 89.297578 151.353044
2024-12-15 3.203135 7.255584 14.818651 29.140343 54.446023 95.773730 166.173369
2024-12-22 2.801196 6.698967 14.282185 29.150004 56.215711 101.544337 180.485749
2024-12-29 2.639617 6.611383 14.615168 30.771598 60.921391 112.475555 203.904191
2025-01-05 2.346895 6.189975 14.242486 31.026530 63.206254 119.485177 221.266370
2025-01-12 1.984568 5.542215 13.322490 30.113564 63.258684 122.640090 232.292479
2025-01-19 1.660249 4.916945 12.356220 28.984903 62.779586 124.790261 241.675237
2025-01-26 1.558673 4.825397 12.535093 30.223242 66.950936 135.534174 266.758072
2025-02-02 1.560507 5.003609 13.340825 32.862161 74.077786 152.090927 303.089292
2025-02-09 1.482557 4.952488 13.608726 34.358709 79.014447 164.856696 333.204589
2025-02-16 1.327246 4.654398 13.250728 34.430649 81.035745 172.241362 353.831515
2025-02-23 1.143719 4.233472 12.531341 33.599261 81.090566 175.842961 367.586571
2025-03-02 1.017707 3.958095 12.137194 33.473013 82.617981 182.368868 387.155066